Fed Education

Macro Overview Dashboard

Live macroeconomic dashboard with business cycle phase overlays, Liberation Day event markers, and AI regime analysis. Pin your most important indicators.

Current Regime Assessment

Early Contraction / Late Expansion

Mixed signals — tariff shock overlaid on late-cycle dynamics

Liberation DayFed PivotVIX Spike 45Fed HoldSVB Crisis

Pinned Indicators

10Y-2Y Yield Curve

-0.42%+0.08%

Inverted — recession signal active

Fed Funds Rate

5.33%0%

Held steady — May FOMC decision pending

All Indicators

10Y-2Y Yield Curve

-0.42%+0.08%

Inverted — recession signal active

Fed Funds Rate

5.33%0%

Held steady — May FOMC decision pending

CPI YoY

3.2%-0.1%

Above 2% target — still elevated

Unemployment Rate

4.3%+0.1%

Rising — Sahm Rule threshold approaching

VIX (Fear Index)

18.5-1.2

Below 20 — moderate fear, elevated caution

M2 Money Supply Growth

1.8%+0.3%

Recovering from historic contraction

Detail View — Click any indicator above to change

10Y-2Y Yield Curve

Inverted — recession signal active

-0.42%
Jan 23Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Apr 26-1.2-0.9-0.6-0.30Liberation DayFed PivotVIX Spike 45Fed HoldSVB Crisis
Liberation Day: EO 14257 Fed Pivot: First Fed rate cut in 4 years VIX Spike 45: VIX hit 45 Fed Hold: Fed signals rate cuts coming in 2024SVB Crisis: Silicon Valley Bank collapse

AI Macro Regime Analysis

Based on 3LC sector rotation framework + current live data

Get a comprehensive AI-powered macro regime assessment integrating Liberation Day impacts, Fed policy signals, and sector rotation recommendations.

Data sourced from FRED, BLS, and Federal Reserve. Liberation Day markers based on EO 14257 (April 2, 2025) and subsequent policy events. For educational purposes only.