Fed Education

Sector Rotation Engine

Select your current economic phase to see historically optimal sector allocations, ETF targets, and AI-driven regime analysis.

Late Expansion

Top 5 sectors ranked by historical outperformance

Phase Selected
1

Energy

Commodity prices peak, MLPs perform

XLE

+103% avg hist.

2

Materials

Commodity inflation hedge

XLB

+82% avg hist.

3

Real Estate

Hard assets provide inflation protection

XLRE

+45% avg hist.

4

Healthcare

Defensive pivot begins

XLV

+38% avg hist.

5

Utilities

Early rotation to defense

XLU

+28% avg hist.

⚠️ UNDERWEIGHT / AVOID

TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

Phase Indicators

Inflation >3%
Fed hiking aggressively
Yield curve flattening
Capacity constraints

Live Macro Signals

Fed Funds
5.33%high
CPI
3.2%elevated
Unemployment
4.3%rising
10Y-2Y Spread
-0.42%inverted
VIX
18.5moderate

AI Regime Analysis

Get AI-powered confirmation of your phase selection against live data.

Disclaimer: Sector rotation data is based on historical patterns from NBER-defined business cycles (1970–2024). Past performance does not guarantee future results. All data is for educational purposes only.